Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SLA
2 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
CAD
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
UDL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ALM
3 - 0
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ZAR
2 - 1
BET
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
RSO
1 - 3
ZAR
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ZAR
2 - 2
LEV
67%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 2
ZAR
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ZAR
2 - 0
MLL
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |