Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
GRA
2 - 1
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
BAR
6 - 2
HER
41%
24%
36%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
HER
3 - 2
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
RCD
2 - 0
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
ZAR
3 - 1
LEV
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
MLL
2 - 1
ZAR
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
ZAR
6 - 1
BET
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
RSO
3 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
ZAR
2 - 4
ALC
45%
23%
33%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |