Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
CON
3 - 1
HER
44%
22%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
HER
4 - 0
OSA
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
BET
3 - 1
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
HER
3 - 1
JFC
56%
21%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 2
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 2
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SDC
3 - 2
ZAR
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SPO
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALC
6 - 1
ZAR
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CUL
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |