Hércules vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
3 - 0
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
HER
3 - 3
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
RMA
0 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RSO
4 - 1
ZAR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ESP
2 - 0
RSO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATM
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
VCF
4 - 1
RSO
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SPO
3 - 2
RSO
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |