Hércules vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
CAS
4 - 3
HER
53%
20%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RCF
2 - 1
HER
52%
20%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
HER
0 - 2
RCD
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BAR
4 - 0
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
HER
2 - 2
LEV
49%
20%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1948 |
ESP
3 - 1
RSO
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
RSO
1 - 0
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
SEV
7 - 1
RSO
76%
13%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
VCF
0 - 0
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
RSO
3 - 2
VCF
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |