Hércules vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 2
HER
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
HER
3 - 3
ATM
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
SEV
8 - 3
HER
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
ZAR
7 - 0
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
OVI
5 - 4
ZAR
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
VCF
5 - 1
OVI
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
OVI
3 - 1
FCB
61%
18%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
ATH
2 - 1
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
0 - 2
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |