Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
ELC
2 - 1
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
HER
1 - 0
MLL
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
PAL
2 - 0
HER
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
HER
0 - 0
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
RAY
4 - 3
HER
47%
27%
25%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
MUR
2 - 0
CFC
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
CCF
0 - 2
MUR
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
MUR
4 - 2
OVI
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
ALA
1 - 2
MUR
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |