Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
CON
3 - 2
HER
29%
29%
43%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
HER
1 - 0
REC
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
XER
2 - 1
HER
28%
29%
44%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
HER
3 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
4 - 0
MLL
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
CAD
1 - 0
MUR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
MUR
3 - 1
LEV
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
PUE
2 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |