Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 1
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PUL
2 - 1
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 2
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
HER
3 - 1
SFE
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 2
LEV
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1961 |
MUR
3 - 1
SPO
60%
20%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 1
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REC
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAD
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |