Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
CCF
2 - 2
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
HER
1 - 0
CAD
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
HER
3 - 1
ELD
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
EXT
2 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
MUR
6 - 1
PUL
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
XER
1 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
MUR
0 - 0
SFE
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
LEV
1 - 1
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
MUR
1 - 2
CDB
72%
17%
12%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |