Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
HER
3 - 0
CDB
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
MAL
4 - 0
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
HER
3 - 0
EXT
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
SDC
0 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
HER
1 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
CDT
0 - 0
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAL
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
EXT
2 - 0
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
MUR
2 - 0
SDC
84%
11%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
PUE
3 - 0
MUR
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | -1 |