Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
3 - 1
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 2
HER
41%
23%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
MUR
7 - 1
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
5 - 1
MUR
51%
21%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 2
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
ALC
3 - 2
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
3 - 1
CUL
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +2 |