Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-3
Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
HER
2 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
HER
0 - 2
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
MUR
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BET
3 - 1
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
JFC
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |