Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
VCF
4 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
HER
5 - 2
ATH
34%
22%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 0
MUR
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 4
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
CAD
0 - 2
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 2
DEP
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RSO
3 - 1
MUR
71%
15%
14%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |