Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
GIM
0 - 1
HER
25%
23%
53%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
VCF
3 - 0
HER
77%
14%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
33%
22%
45%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
HER
2 - 0
DEP
48%
21%
31%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
DEP
0 - 1
HER
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
MUR
3 - 0
ELC
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
VCF
6 - 2
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
MUR
1 - 3
VCF
49%
20%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
MUR
3 - 0
LOG
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LOG
0 - 0
MUR
35%
22%
43%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |