Hércules vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
RAC
2 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
HER
4 - 0
EST
81%
13%
5%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
HER
0 - 0
ATH
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
VAD
3 - 1
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
HER
2 - 1
ALB
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
RMA
1 - 0
VCF
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
RMA
6 - 1
AND
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
RMA
1 - 1
RSO
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
AND
3 - 0
RMA
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |