Hércules vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
BET
2 - 0
HER
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
HER
3 - 1
ZAR
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
ALM
2 - 0
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
RAY
2 - 1
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 2
RSO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
RMA
3 - 0
CEL
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
SLA
1 - 1
RMA
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 0
LOG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |