Hércules vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
HER
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
GIR
2 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
HER
2 - 2
SEV
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
HER
8 - 0
GIR
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 0
RAC
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1977 |
RMA
5 - 1
RAC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CAD
1 - 0
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |