Hércules vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
58.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1935 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
38%
21%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1935 |
VCF
3 - 1
HER
74%
14%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
59%
19%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1935 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1935 |
RMA
0 - 0
SEV
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
36%
22%
42%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
6 - 1
ARE
79%
12%
9%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
48%
21%
31%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
3 - 0
VCF
74%
14%
12%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |