Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
PUL
4 - 5
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 1
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
BAL
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
CAT
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
66%
17%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 1
ORI
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 3
RJA
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 3
MLL
66%
18%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 3
GRA
67%
17%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 2
RJA
53%
22%
26%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |