Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
SLA
1 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
HER
1 - 1
PAL
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
AMA
0 - 0
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
HER
1 - 0
LLE
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
RAY
2 - 0
OSA
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
RAY
1 - 1
PAL
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
GET
1 - 1
RAY
28%
31%
41%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
PAL
0 - 1
RAY
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
RAY
3 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |