Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
CEU
1 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
HER
3 - 0
VAL
63%
20%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
IND
1 - 1
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
HER
3 - 1
MAL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
CON
1 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
RAY
3 - 0
CDB
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
UBC
1 - 3
RAY
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
RAY
1 - 0
PUL
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
CDT
2 - 2
RAY
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
RAY
3 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |