Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
HER
8 - 2
CAD
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
UDL
1 - 0
HER
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
HER
4 - 3
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CCF
4 - 0
HER
67%
19%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 1
RAY
66%
19%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 0
MAL
57%
21%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
CAS
5 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
RAY
3 - 0
UDL
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CAD
0 - 0
RAY
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |