Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-3
Hércules vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HER
3 - 0
NOV
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
HOS
0 - 1
HER
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
GIM
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
FIG
2 - 2
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
HER
2 - 2
SAB
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
RAC
2 - 2
ESP
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
RAC
1 - 1
MLL
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ZAR
4 - 1
RAC
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
RAC
3 - 0
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
RSO
2 - 5
RAC
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |