Hércules vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
12.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
48%
21%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
GIR
77%
14%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
59%
18%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RAC
0 - 1
VAL
73%
15%
13%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
71%
16%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
1 - 2
RCF
63%
17%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
1 - 2
GRA
57%
20%
23%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 3
RAC
75%
14%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |