Hércules vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
RMA
30%
23%
47%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1936 |
RMA
7 - 0
HER
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1936 |
HER
2 - 0
SEV
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
ALA
2 - 1
RAC
37%
22%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
RAC
2 - 5
ALA
83%
10%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
RAC
0 - 2
OSA
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
OSA
5 - 1
RAC
48%
20%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 1
RAC
51%
20%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |