Hércules vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 1
HER
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
RAC
73%
15%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
48%
21%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 0
GIR
65%
18%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
6 - 1
RCF
59%
18%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
RCF
0 - 1
LEV
53%
20%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
6 - 1
RCF
62%
18%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
RCF
4 - 0
BAD
61%
19%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |