Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Hércules vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
HER
0 - 0
LOG
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
CDT
3 - 0
HER
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
HER
1 - 2
RCF
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
HER
2 - 0
UES
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
PUE
1 - 2
RSO
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
7 - 0
PUE
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
PUE
1 - 0
ZAR
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ZAM
1 - 0
PUE
29%
31%
40%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
PUE
0 - 1
GDE
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |