Hércules vs Premià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ONT
0 - 1
HER
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2000 |
TER
1 - 1
HER
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
FCB
3 - 3
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
HER
2 - 0
ALZ
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Premià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CEP
0 - 0
MLL
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
ONT
3 - 1
CEP
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CEP
0 - 1
TER
38%
27%
34%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 1
CEP
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CEP
2 - 2
FCB
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |