Hércules vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
OSA
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 2
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
HER
2 - 2
LEV
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 1
HER
34%
30%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HER
1 - 0
FIG
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 5
ALI
24%
29%
47%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
OSA
1 - 0
PEÑ
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
GRA
28%
30%
42%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 1
PEÑ
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
HUE
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |