Hércules vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
HER
2 - 0
OLO
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
OVI
1 - 0
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
HER
1 - 1
RAY
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
HER
2 - 1
CDT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1983 |
OLO
0 - 4
HER
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
PAL
1 - 2
ATH
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
CFC
2 - 2
PAL
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
PAL
0 - 0
DEP
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
RAC
3 - 0
PAL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
PAL
4 - 0
ATB
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |