Hércules vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
LLE
2 - 1
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
HER
4 - 0
UDL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
EIB
0 - 1
HER
43%
30%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
HER
3 - 1
ALB
49%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 1
HER
34%
30%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
CDO
2 - 0
OSA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
LEV
1 - 0
CDO
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
CDO
0 - 0
ALA
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
LEG
1 - 2
CDO
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
CDO
3 - 4
ATB
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |