Hércules vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
MLL
1 - 0
HER
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
HER
2 - 1
CDB
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
MER
4 - 0
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
HER
1 - 1
VIL
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
HER
1 - 0
OSA
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
CDO
0 - 0
OSA
31%
28%
42%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
GET
1 - 0
CDO
64%
24%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
CDO
0 - 4
RAY
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
SLA
3 - 1
CDO
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
CDO
1 - 4
PAL
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |