Hércules vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
SAB
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 0
HER
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PRA
1 - 1
HER
18%
30%
53%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
UCA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORI
76%
16%
7%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 1
PRA
58%
24%
17%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
EJE
4 - 0
ORI
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ORI
3 - 1
JOV
72%
19%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 0
YEC
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |