Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
Hércules vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
VIL
2 - 1
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ONT
1 - 2
HER
20%
26%
53%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
HER
0 - 0
RAY
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
HER
3 - 2
ATH
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
VAD
1 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
ONT
3 - 1
HOS
36%
28%
36%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ONT
1 - 2
HER
20%
26%
53%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
FIG
4 - 1
ONT
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ONT
0 - 1
PIN
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
NOV
1 - 2
ONT
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |