Hércules vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
HOS
0 - 1
HER
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
GIM
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
FIG
2 - 2
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
HER
2 - 2
SAB
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 2
HER
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
NOV
0 - 2
CEP
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ONT
2 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NOV
0 - 1
TER
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
NOV
1 - 0
FCB
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |