Hércules vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
HER
2 - 1
RCD
62%
19%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
53%
22%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ATB
3 - 1
HER
50%
22%
29%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
HER
3 - 0
SLA
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 3
SLA
66%
18%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1952 |
VAL
4 - 1
MEL
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALC
60%
20%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
CAR
1 - 1
MEL
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
MEL
4 - 5
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |