Hércules vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1951 |
PUL
3 - 1
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
HER
0 - 1
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
HER
3 - 4
CAT
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
GRA
2 - 0
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
MEL
5 - 2
LEV
53%
21%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
ALB
8 - 0
MEL
61%
19%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SLA
1 - 0
MEL
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
MEL
3 - 1
BAL
58%
20%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |