Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-0
Hércules vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
HER
2 - 0
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LOR
0 - 1
HER
23%
23%
55%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
HER
5 - 1
SEV
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ATH
5 - 3
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
REU
1 - 1
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
LOR
0 - 0
PUE
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
TRJ
1 - 0
LOR
89%
8%
4%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LOR
0 - 1
HER
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALB
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |