Hércules vs L´Hospitalet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
ALG
2 - 1
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
CEU
3 - 2
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
HER
2 - 0
SFE
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
HOS
1 - 0
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
HOS
0 - 1
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
UPL
2 - 1
HOS
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
HOS
1 - 3
RSO
29%
28%
44%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SDI
3 - 1
HOS
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
HOS
1 - 0
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |