Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
HER
4 - 0
BEN
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
ALB
3 - 3
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
HER
0 - 0
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
BEN
2 - 1
HER
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
GRA
2 - 1
LIN
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
GRA
2 - 2
TOR
72%
20%
9%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
ELD
2 - 0
GRA
32%
31%
38%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
LIN
1 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
GRA
2 - 0
FCB
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |