Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
CCF
0 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
HER
1 - 2
MUR
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 1
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PUL
2 - 1
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 2
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
GRA
3 - 2
LEV
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
MAL
2 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 1
REC
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
GRA
3 - 1
CUL
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 3
CAD
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |