Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
CAD
1 - 0
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 1
HER
89%
7%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
RSO
2 - 0
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
HER
3 - 1
CUL
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
GRA
4 - 2
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDT
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 1
GRA
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
GRA
2 - 1
CAS
77%
14%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
XER
3 - 2
GRA
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |