Hércules vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
HER
0 - 1
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
LOR
1 - 2
HER
28%
30%
42%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
HER
2 - 2
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
ALG
0 - 1
HER
34%
30%
37%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
HER
1 - 1
NUL
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
GIR
6 - 1
JUP
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
UAH
1 - 0
GIR
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
GIR
2 - 0
REU
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
IGU
3 - 1
GIR
31%
26%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
GIR
1 - 2
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |