Hércules vs Gimnástico FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
HER
3 - 0
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
HER
4 - 0
LEV
82%
11%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
MAL
2 - 3
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIM
77%
14%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
GIM
0 - 0
LEV
48%
22%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
MAL
3 - 0
GIM
75%
15%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
GIM
4 - 2
MUR
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 2
GIM
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +2 |