Hércules vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 3
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
AGD
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
AGD
0 - 1
HER
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CDT
3 - 1
GIM
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
GIM
4 - 4
REC
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 3
GIM
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALA
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
GIM
1 - 2
ALM
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |