Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
SEV
2 - 1
HER
52%
27%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
SLA
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
UDL
0 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
HER
4 - 0
RAC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
RAC
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CAD
2 - 4
ESP
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATM
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 0
BET
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |