Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
RSO
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
HER
2 - 1
CEL
54%
28%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
VCF
3 - 1
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 1
HER
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
ESP
2 - 3
FCB
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ATH
5 - 2
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
FEY
2 - 0
ESP
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
ESP
4 - 0
SLA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
MAL
1 - 1
ESP
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |