Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
HER
1 - 2
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
HER
3 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
CON
3 - 1
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
HER
6 - 1
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
ATH
4 - 1
ESP
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |