Hércules vs Espanyol B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
5º
1º
46
6º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
UCA
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 2
HER
13%
24%
63%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ATB
0 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SEL
1 - 0
HER
12%
19%
68%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
RCD
2 - 0
HOS
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 1
RCD
65%
19%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
RCD
9%
17%
75%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATB
2 - 0
RCD
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RCD
0 - 1
ATB
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |